Japan ” Timber Intelligence “in April 2009 reported, FAO published in March this year,” the World’s Forests 2009 “, on the 2020 and 2030 had been predicted globe demand for timber. FAO cited long period of time lead to major adjustments in timber demand.
population growth. In 2005 the planet population of 64 million, is anticipated to boost to 7.5 billion by 2020, to attain eight.two billion by 2030.
economic development. Planet GDP from 16 trillion U.S. dollars in 1970 to develop to 47 trillion U.S. dollars in 2005, an boost of about 2-fold. 2030 is anticipated to attain one hundred trillion U.S. dollars, specifically in Asia will increase more.
environmental alter. Production deforestation, environmental protection, escalating forest type.
Energy Policy. Expansion of biomass power use.
plantations. Shift from reliance on organic forest timber production a lot more dependent on plantations.
technological innovation. Artificial breeding technologies advances and production efficiency, expand recycling, effective wood production and increased use of technologies, the improvement of new synthetic wood, Cellulose The improvement of biofuels such as, in all locations of technological innovation is advancing.
A planet sawn lumber demand forecast globe production in 1965 was 358 million m3, 1990 years to 465 million m3, annual development rate of about 1.1%, but a significant decline occurred in 1990-1995, then progressively recovered , 2005, has returned to 417 million m3, equivalent to about 90% of 1990 levels (Table 1). From 1990-2005 regional lumber production scenario, the Asia-Pacific lumber production declined 32%, down 29% in Europe, North America enhanced by 22%, the 3 regional lumber production accounts for 87% of planet production. Other components of sawn timber production is low, but the Central and South America 40% of yield strength. Estimated in 2030 the planet timber production and consumption in all regions will be expanded to attain 600 million worldwide total of about m3. Timber production forecast will be a massive growth in regions and countries are Russia, Eastern Europe and South America. And Africa, Asia and Central and West Asia will be a shortage of production in the area, continue to be a net importer. In created countries, synthetic wood ( Project Timber) will to some extent replaced the use of timber, so consumption development will slow.
2, panel demand forecast Glue Plywood, veneer, particleboard, fiberboard and other wood based panel production in 1990 reached 127 million m3, much more than 41 million m3 in 1965 improved two instances in 2005 to reach 234 million m3, compared with 1990 has increased 84%. Asia, Europe, North America and other regions primarily based panel production and consumption accounts for 91% of the planet, and other smaller sized regional production and consumption, but also steadily elevated (Table two). At present wood-based panel production is only about 56% of lumber production, but its growth rate is expected in the future will be far more than lumber, to 2030, annual output will attain 521 million m3, 2.two instances in 2005, close to the sawn timber production. Based panel production is expected to be the basis for a substantial increase in plywood production will be the Asia-Pacific area from 81 million m3 in 2005 to 231 million m3, an boost of about two-fold.